In the end it comes down to luck but luck is always denied. If you win then it isn't luck but skill, daring, and creativity. If you lose it is because someone screwed you over.
One of the greatest sources of bad luck is revenge. That allows you to surprise people with really terrible luck. Then they can surprise you back.
I see American Exceptionalism as loaded dice pretending to be divine luck. A permanent ‘get out of jail free’ card that was and is a psychopathic delusion. It finally delivered a true psychopath as our reward who is teaching us what it means to be screwed by a delusional idiot. He is America and we don’t like it. Except for those who love it because it is just what they were taught.